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Classical
vs. Modern Decision Making Approaches
- Classical
decision theory began with normative models in economics
and statistics, which specified optimal decisions. Emphasis
is on the quality of the process followed when making a
decision rather than on the ultimate outcome of the decision--the
rational decision maker must think logically about the decision
by first formally describing what is known about the decision
and then applying principles of logic and Bayesian probability
theory. This approach is quantitative and can be prescriptive.
- Modern
decision theory focuses on dynamic decision making,
whereby actions taken by a decision maker are made sequentially
in time and each action may change the environment resulting
in a new set of decisions. Decisions might be made under
time pressure and stress, by groups or individuals, and
in normal or conflicting environments. For instance, a fighter
pilot routinely identifies other aircraft as friendly or
not, with the latter resulting in the decision making process
changing from normal to conflict-driven.
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