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Module Introduction
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Information Procesing
Attention
Memory
Decision Making
Heuristics
Representativeness
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Cognition > Heuristics > Representativeness - 2 of 2
 
 


Demonstration 2 (cont'd)

The following illustrates that "A" may have a higher probability of occurring over time than B, but each is equally likely to occur in a single run because each toss of the coin gives a 50/50 chance of head or tail. Did you guess this? If not, then you just experienced how the representative heuristic may fail you in such decisions.
heads heads heads tales tales tales
heads heads tales heads tales tales
heads heads tales tales heads tales
heads heads tales tales tales heads
heads tales heads tales tales heads
heads tales tales heads tales heads
heads tales tales tales heads heads
tales heads tales tales heads heads
tales tales heads tales heads heads
 
tales tales tales heads heads heads
heads tales heads heads tales tales
tales heads heads heads tales tales
tales heads heads tales heads tales
tales heads tales heads heads tales
tales tales heads heads heads tales
tales tales heads heads tales heads
heads tales heads tales heads tales
tales heads tales heads tales heads

1 combination:6 Heads in a row
heads heads heads heads heads heads
 
 
 

 

 
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